(2021-09-28, 10:15 PM)isatrader Wrote: There were 12 stocks for the US stocks watchlist today. Here's a small sample from the list:
ONDS, UPST, ASAN + 9 more...
$ONDS still in focus & I was asked why it was on the watchlist, which I went through in detail in the members video last night. But here's the comparison to $AMD when it was in a similar position. However, that doesn't mean it's going to do what AMD did after. But hopefully helps
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
I've managed to input the year to date data for the Greater than +1x ATR(21-Day) in the S&P 1500 scan, which is interesting. Initial observation. Majority of the dips below the 10% level occur on or within a few days of a swing low.
$MDB attempting to spring
The Greater than +1x ATR scan dropped to 13.40% at the close today, but that still almost 10% higher than the swing low on the 20%. i.e. 10% more stocks are now in short term uptrend than on the 20th. So a divergence with the price action in the S&P 1500
The data from this reminds me of the new highs and new lows data, and so I'm thinking that it could be used in the same way by creating a new low equivalent also, which would be the Less than -1x ATR(21 day) scan, and then that could be overlaid on the other chart and they could also be subtracted from each other in the same ways as the new highs - new lows is done. So it would Greater than +1x ATR(21 day) minus Less than -1x ATR(21 day), which would create an oscillator chart similar to the new highs - new lows style.
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
ONDS (Ondas Holdings) made an early Stage 2A breakout attempt this week from its developing Stage 1 base on strong relative volume, but ended the week under the resistance level from the June high and prior higher range forming an upthrust and remains in Stage 1. It did however close the week well above numerous recent near term swing highs from within the range and formed a Significant Bar on the 28th September which is visible on the daily chart below.
For those that have read the excellent book The Lifecycle Trade: How to Win at Trading IPOs and Super Growth Stocks - the pattern since the IPO looks to be what they classified as a "Late Bloomer" where the stock has an initial strong IPO Advance Phase (IPO-AP) before pulling back and then going through a base building period called the Institutional Due Diligence Phase (I-DDP), which often forms as the major Stage 1 base.
The price action action also has a similar look to what we saw in AMD earlier in the year before it's Stage 2 breakout and advance higher (see below), with a similar significant bar near the top of the range and then backing up within the range of the significant bar before breaking out convincingly. However, I'm not saying that ONDS will do the same, but it is showing a similar pattern so far as it builds its Stage 1 base.
So I'm watching to see if it will hold the range from the significant bar and then make a new Stage 2 breakout attempt on strong relative volume.
ONDS Point & Figure Horizontal Price Target (Wyckoff method)
The Wyckoff method can be used to calculate a price target using the P&F horizontal count line, which is 25 columns with a 0.25 box size by 3 reversal chart. Which added onto the Base Low at 5.75 and the Last Point of Support (LPS) at 7.50, gives a target range of 24.50 to 26.25. Hence the potential Cause from the Stage 1 base is over 100%+ from the current price level.*
(2021-09-28, 05:47 PM)isatrader Wrote: $GOGO gapping up to make a Stage 2 breakout attempt on exceptionally strong relative volume today of +3801% vs 50-day average volume. So will be watching how it closes and then how it acts in the following day around the gap bar
$GOGO from Tuesdays watchlist completed a new Stage 2 breakout this week on exceptionally strong volume (16x weekly average) on news of stronger future earnings growth.
SATA maximum score of 5 (Stage Analysis Technical Attributes)
Will be watching for how it behaves on the next consolidation or on a backup towards the BO
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
