RE: UK Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium)
(2014-05-08, 10:21 PM)isatrader Wrote: To be a continuation it doesn't have to move into Stage 3. The vast majority of Stage 2 continuations are more minor, and are from consolidations of only one to three months that form above a strongly rising 30 week MA within Stage 2. See the initial post in this thread which has the chart from page 62 of the book that shows the ideal entry point for the trader method. That pattern is the example of an ideal Stage 2 continuation pattern.
RE: UK Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium)
(2014-05-06, 09:38 PM)isatrader Wrote: No new stocks to highlight from today's scans of the UK markets. But don't forget to look through the stocks previously highlighted recently in the watchlist, as for example various stocks that were highlighted in Stage 3 have now broken down into Stage 4. And some stocks that were highlighted early in Stage 4A have pulled back to retest their breakdown levels.
I've been checking some of the sector charts and there are some big sectors (like banks, and food retailers) that look to in be in a stage 4 decline.
i can't see how the FTSE is so high yet the sectors, aside from a handful, don't look too great.
The Oil and Gas Producers Sector doesn't look to bad mind, it has had a breakout with come charts looking good.
Isatrader, are you able to give me your stage analysis views on COP.L. It looks like it is in a stage 1b which could potentially move into stage 2a very soon.
RE: UK Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium)
(2014-05-08, 11:37 PM)Tryst Wrote: Isatrader, are you able to give me your stage analysis views on COP.L. It looks like it is in a stage 1b which could potentially move into stage 2a very soon.
I'd say it's in Stage 2A since the start of the year, as it formed a higher Stage 1 base when it broke out into some near term resistance in the middle of 2013, and then the relative performance caught up and it broke out with volume and a strong move above a rising zero line in January. And so a breakout above the January highs would be the first continuation imo, but you could also argue that it would be the second continuation and the Stage 2A was the earlier breakout, but the weak relative performance and declining 30 week MA and strong near term resistance, would mean a more conservative rating imo, and hence why I'd say the later breakout was the Stage 2A.
Attached is my chart, which I've done in my other software as prorealtime had a spike in it's data on one day which was distorting the chart.
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
RE: UK Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium)
A number of REITs seem to be on the cusp of breaking out of continuations. However, volume does not look good. I've noted GPOR, SREI, HMSO & BLND. I believe SREI is an investment trust rather than an REIT if that matters to you.
I have modest positions in GPOR & SREI already, I don't expect to add more at the moment myself but I thought I'd highlight it for interest.
Not all in this area are doing so well. I left MKLW a while back. I have a position in TCSC, but although that appears to be in stage 2 progress is slow and volatile