(2020-12-23, 10:31 AM)Jimbo Wrote: Quite new to method, but I've managed to have some beginners luck . some stocks up over 100% (mainly commodities).
Does anybody know if the traditional investor method as used in the original book still works in the modern markets or has increased volatility changed things .
Thanks
Well done on the good start. Having a strong market environment is half the battle. So you have to take advantage when they come along.
In terms of the investor method. It works the same today as it did 30 years ago, with only a few minor tweaks in places, but the core remains the same, and as it's very closely related to the Wyckoff method, which was developed over a 100 years ago and more, as the price and volume action that you see in stocks doesn't change, as human nature and psychology of fear and greed doesn't change.
However, every person will trade it differently. As each person brings in additional noise from anything else that they already know or go onto learn. So if you had 100 people trading the method, they would get 100 completely different results, with some having huge gains, while others make losses.
The method works beautifully and is time tested. But people make mistakes and misinterpret it. So the key is to learn it properly, and try not to be tempted to alter it until you are much more experienced and having success with it.
For me I consider Stage Analysis a foundational method. Which can be built onto later with techniques from other methods such as Wyckoff and CAN SLIM. But it's very important to learn the foundations that Stage Analysis gives you first.
I hope that helps