The Nasdaq 100 (I'm showing the QQQ etf above) today made yet another attempt to spring after trading down to a lower near term low. I've included multiple timeframe charts above, with the intraday 2 hour chart at the top, which is in a Stage 4 decline on that timeframe currently, and is yet to show a Change of Behaviour (CHoBH), that would potentially move it into Stage 1 on that timeframe. So to validate a spring event, I'd want to see an Automatic Rally event, that broke the Stage 4 downtrend supply line as a first sign of a CHoBH.

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes and ETFs – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, IBD 50, ARKK, plus the VIX and also a look at the earnings reactions of some of the mega cap stocks that reported over the last week, including GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and more.

The major US indexes (i.e. the S&P 500, NYSE, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 etc) all closed the week at the lows, after Thursdays bounce attempt was convincingly rejected, and with multiple indexes already in Stage 4, the holdouts have now started to breakdown as well – with the S&P 500 and NYSE both making Stage 4 breakdown attempts at the end of the week. So risk is extremely elevated of the Stage 4 decline accelerating.

The stock market managed to bounce from the deeply oversold levels today with the percentage of stocks above their 20 day exponential moving averages in the S&P 500 moving back out the lower zone at 18% to close at 35%. So it almost doubled the amount of stocks in the S&P 500 above their short term moving averages...

Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video with a FREE preview reviewing the charts of the mega caps earnings reactions and the upcoming earnings in the next few days. Followed by the members only content talking first about the Q2 Weak Spot in the Four Year Presidential Election Cycle, and Major Indexes, short term Market Breadth charts. Plus a look at the Wyckoff Distribution Schematics with some potential examples from current charts showing weak structures and price and volume action. And to finish a few watchlist stocks.

The major indexes – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, NYSE, Russell 2000 and the FAANG stocks index – are all at pivotal points, with weakest already in Stage 4 declines. But now the stronger areas of the S&P 500 and NYSE are also testing their own Stage 4 breakdown levels...

There was an attempt to spring near the lows of the recent ranges in multiple US Indexes today. However, a deeper low that undercuts the base structure would be more useful in order to wash out the weaker hands, and provide the large players (institutional investors) liquidity...

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000 and the individual US Market Sectors Stages. Plus the a detailed look at the US Industry Groups Relative Strength focusing on the Change of Behaviour in the strongest RS groups...

The S&P 500 strongly rejected the 200 day MA today following statements by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell of potential upcoming rate hikes to help tackle rampant inflation. Which gave the market the excuse it needed for a selloff at the key level of the 200 day MA in the S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials, while the Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 Small Caps rejected their 50 day MAs.

Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video with a FREE preview covering the Stage 4 continuation breakdown in NFLX Netflix, and then members only content going through the Major Indexes, Short Term Market Breadth Charts, todays after hours moves from earnings in TSLA and UAL. The Uranium group attempt to rebound and the US Stocks Watchlist and Group Themes in more detail.