Broad based selling today with stocks accelerating to the downside in the afternoon session after initially attempting to hold up during the morning, and if you zoom into the intraday 2 hour chart...
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Blog
09 June, 2022
Stage 4 Trend Reasserts Itself – 10 June 2022
05 June, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Weekend Video – 5 June 2022 (1hr 36mins)
This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features Stage Analysis of the major crypto coins – Bitcoin and Ethereum on multiple timeframes. And then in the members only portion of the video the usual Forest to the Trees approach...
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05 June, 2022
Sector Breadth: Percentage of US Stocks Above Their 150 day (30 Week) Moving Averages
Energy remains the leading group in the Stage 2 zone, and has pushed back above the 90% level once more. I talked in the previous post about looking for new leadership in sectors that reverse strongly back out of the lower zone, of which Basic Materials and Industrials have been the first movers in the last few weeks.
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19 May, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video – 18 May 2022 (1hr 17mins)
The Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video features Analysis of the Stages of the major US sectors, as well as a look at the sector breadth visual the custom IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish % chart that I do for the members that shows the distribution of the 200 IBD Industry Groups as a bell curve chart...
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14 May, 2022
Sector Breadth: Percentage of US Stocks Above Their 150 day (30 Week) Moving Averages
The majority of sectors have now fallen into the lower zone – which we haven't seen on the sector breadth visual since March 2020. So it's reached an extreme. But unlike the March 2020 visual, the current market still has a few sectors in the mid and upper zones, as Energy remains at very high level of 80.24%...
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01 May, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Weekend Video – 1 May 2022 (1hr 22mins)
This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes and ETFs – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, IBD 50, ARKK, plus the VIX and also a look at the earnings reactions of some of the mega cap stocks that reported over the last week, including GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and more.
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01 May, 2022
Major Stock Indexes Testing the Stage 4 Breakdown Level
The major US indexes (i.e. the S&P 500, NYSE, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 etc) all closed the week at the lows, after Thursdays bounce attempt was convincingly rejected, and with multiple indexes already in Stage 4, the holdouts have now started to breakdown as well – with the S&P 500 and NYSE both making Stage 4 breakdown attempts at the end of the week. So risk is extremely elevated of the Stage 4 decline accelerating.
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28 April, 2022
US Industry Groups Bell Curve – Exclusive to Stage Analysis
Exclusive graphic of the 104 Dow Jones Industry Groups showing the Percentage of Stocks Above 30 week MA in each group visualised as a Bell Curve chart – inspired by the Sector Bell Curve work by Tom Dorsey in his Point & Figure book....
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24 April, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Weekend Video - 24 April 2022 (1hr 30mins)
This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000 and the individual US Market Sectors Stages. Plus the a detailed look at the US Industry Groups Relative Strength focusing on the Change of Behaviour in the strongest RS groups...
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23 April, 2022
Sector Breadth: Percentage of US Stocks Above Their 150 day (30 Week) Moving Averages
There were negative grid changes in 5 of the 11 sectors since the last update two weeks ago, with the overall average down to 40.53%. The biggest declines this week were in the Basic Materials and Utilities sectors – dropping the Basic Materials below the 60% level out of the Stage 2 zone and into the more neutral Stage 3 / Stage 1 zone...
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