The major indexes all tested their lower ends of their bases today, the Nasdaq composite closing below the Jan 24th Selling Climax (SC) level, and so there is a possibility that there could be a Spring attempt. But current geopolitical events continue to add volatility into the mix, and so risk of a broad Stage 4 decline continues to increase. Although you could argue from the market breadth data alone that we are already in Stage 4...
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Blog
23 February, 2022
Major Indexes Testing the Stage 4 Breakdown Level
22 February, 2022
US Stocks Watchlist - 22 February 2022
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both pushed down towards their recent lows that were put in on the 24th January on the local Selling Climax (SC) and are currently making a potential Secondary Test (ST) of that low. So how well defended it is will give further clues to the market condition. i.e. do they form a higher low and push back higher in their Stage 3 ranges, or do they undercut and rebound, but form a Sign of Weakness (SOW), or breakdown completely and move into a major Stage 4 decline.
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20 February, 2022
S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000
The major Indexes had a weak final few days of last week and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both moved back into the lower half the recent range that they have been developing, with the Russell 2000 showing some near term relative strength. But in a weaker overall position as the Russell 2000 is the only major index in Stage 4, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite and NYSE all remain in Stage 3 currently, with attempts to form a near term base structure, of which they are all in Phase B - the testing phase...
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20 February, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Weekend Video - 20 February 2022 (1hr 19mins)
Detailed video of the US stock market indexes, market breadth, industry groups relative strength tables and the stocks from the weekend watchlist.
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20 February, 2022
US Stocks Watchlist - 20 February 2022
There were 32 stocks for the US stocks watchlist today. Here's a small sample from the list: BROS, DOCS, VSCO, ZIM, + 28 more...
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19 February, 2022
104 Dow Jones Industry Groups sorted by Relative Strength
The purpose of the RS tables is to track the short, medium and long term RS changes of the individual groups to find the new leadership earlier than the crowd.
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18 February, 2022
Gold Stage 2 Breakout Attempt and US Stocks Watchlist - 17 February 2022
Physical Gold and the various etfs that track it (i.e. $GLD & $PHYS) are testing the Stage 2 breakout level today, and this has caused strong moves across the various gold miners too, which have featured heavily in the Stage Analysis Members watchlist over the last week, with around 1/3 of the weekend watchlist dedicated to it.
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16 February, 2022
Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video - 16 February 2022 (40 mins)
Detailed Midweek video for Stage Analysis Members of the US markets, short term market breadth and the US watchlist stocks
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15 February, 2022
US Stocks Watchlist - 15 February 2022
There were 20 stocks for the US stocks watchlist today. Here's a small sample from the list: ABNB, GTLB, IOT, UPST + 16 more...
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14 February, 2022
US Stocks Watchlist - 14 February 2022
There were 17 stocks for the US stocks watchlist today. Here's a small sample from the list: AXP, BILL, DDOG, OBE, + 13 more...
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