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Fed Decision Impact and the US Stocks Watchlist – 4 May 2022

The Fed decision to raise rates by 0.5% sent the major indexes – such as the large cap S&P 500 index – sharply higher in the final hours of the trading day, and continued the three day move that began with the Spring Attempt on Monday, and is now showing as a potential Change of Character over what we've seen from the previous rally attempts over the last month or so...
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Spring Attempt (Again) and the US Stocks Watchlist – 2 May 2022

The Nasdaq 100 (I'm showing the QQQ etf above) today made yet another attempt to spring after trading down to a lower near term low. I've included multiple timeframe charts above, with the intraday 2 hour chart at the top, which is in a Stage 4 decline on that timeframe currently, and is yet to show a Change of Behaviour (CHoBH), that would potentially move it into Stage 1 on that timeframe. So to validate a spring event, I'd want to see an Automatic Rally event, that broke the Stage 4 downtrend supply line as a first sign of a CHoBH.
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Stage Analysis Members Weekend Video – 1 May 2022 (1hr 22mins)

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes and ETFs – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, IBD 50, ARKK, plus the VIX and also a look at the earnings reactions of some of the mega cap stocks that reported over the last week, including GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and more.
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Major Stock Indexes Testing the Stage 4 Breakdown Level

The major US indexes (i.e. the S&P 500, NYSE, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 etc) all closed the week at the lows, after Thursdays bounce attempt was convincingly rejected, and with multiple indexes already in Stage 4, the holdouts have now started to breakdown as well – with the S&P 500 and NYSE both making Stage 4 breakdown attempts at the end of the week. So risk is extremely elevated of the Stage 4 decline accelerating.
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Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video – 27 April 2022 (1hr 2mins)

Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video with a FREE preview reviewing the charts of the mega caps earnings reactions and the upcoming earnings in the next few days. Followed by the members only content talking first about the Q2 Weak Spot in the Four Year Presidential Election Cycle, and Major Indexes, short term Market Breadth charts. Plus a look at the Wyckoff Distribution Schematics with some potential examples from current charts showing weak structures and price and volume action. And to finish a few watchlist stocks.
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