The stock market indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000) flipped back lower today, with the potential Secondary Test (ST) that I mentioned in yesterdays post occurring extremely quickly, as the market makers inflicted maximum pain on the people that rushed to buy on the Fed news on Wednesday.

Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video with a FREE preview talking through the recent Spring Type Action in the Major Indexes and some groups coming into focus. Plus the Members Only Content covering the short term Market Breadth Indicators, Industry Group Themes and the US Watchlist Stocks in detail.

The Fed decision to raise rates by 0.5% sent the major indexes – such as the large cap S&P 500 index – sharply higher in the final hours of the trading day, and continued the three day move that began with the Spring Attempt on Monday, and is now showing as a potential Change of Character over what we've seen from the previous rally attempts over the last month or so...

Tuesday was a heavy day for earning results with 118 before the open and a further 280 after the close (Data from Earnings Whispers)...

The Nasdaq 100 (I'm showing the QQQ etf above) today made yet another attempt to spring after trading down to a lower near term low. I've included multiple timeframe charts above, with the intraday 2 hour chart at the top, which is in a Stage 4 decline on that timeframe currently, and is yet to show a Change of Behaviour (CHoBH), that would potentially move it into Stage 1 on that timeframe. So to validate a spring event, I'd want to see an Automatic Rally event, that broke the Stage 4 downtrend supply line as a first sign of a CHoBH.

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes and ETFs – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, IBD 50, ARKK, plus the VIX and also a look at the earnings reactions of some of the mega cap stocks that reported over the last week, including GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and more.

The major US indexes (i.e. the S&P 500, NYSE, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 etc) all closed the week at the lows, after Thursdays bounce attempt was convincingly rejected, and with multiple indexes already in Stage 4, the holdouts have now started to breakdown as well – with the S&P 500 and NYSE both making Stage 4 breakdown attempts at the end of the week. So risk is extremely elevated of the Stage 4 decline accelerating.

The purpose of the Relative Strength (RS) tables is to track the short, medium and long term RS changes of the individual groups to find the new leadership earlier than the crowd...

Custom Percentage of Stocks Above Their 50 Day, 150 Day & 200 Day Moving Averages Combined Market Breadth Charts for the Overall US Market, NYSE and Nasdaq for Market Timing and Strategy.

The stock market managed to bounce from the deeply oversold levels today with the percentage of stocks above their 20 day exponential moving averages in the S&P 500 moving back out the lower zone at 18% to close at 35%. So it almost doubled the amount of stocks in the S&P 500 above their short term moving averages...