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Stage Analysis

Stock Market Update and US Stocks Watchlist – 23 August 2022

The major indexes, i.e. the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 etc, all continued to pullback today with a weak failed attempt to regain the 21 day EMA and then poor close near the bottom of the daily candle. So all had a second daily close below the 21 day EMA and the short-term market breadth indicators, such as the S&P 500 percentage of stocks above their 20 day EMA (which can be seen in the top chart), continued lower also and closed at 38.60%.
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US Stocks Watchlist – 22 August 2022

Renewable Energy Equipment was big feature in tonights watchlist, as multiple stocks in this leading group are pulling back towards short-term MAs, and so could be near to actionable areas if the market doesn't fall apart that is...
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IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish Percent

The IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish Percent average distribution declining by -0.11% since the previous week, with 3 groups dropping out of the Stage 2 zone and one group dropping back into the Stage 4 zone. But the overall average remains slightly above the mid point of the bell curve, which is the Stage 1 zone when rising from the lower Stage 4 zone.
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US Stocks Watchlist – 18 August 2022

Exploration & Production was in focus today, with multiple stocks from the group showing up in the scans, but of varying quality. However, the IBD version of the group made a new double top breakout on its P&F chart and so moves back to P&F Bull Confirmed status for the group...
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Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video – 17 August 2022 (1hr 25mins)

This weeks midweek video starts with a feature on the IBD Industry Group Bullish Percent Index, which I highlighted in the blog post on Tuesday. So I wanted to do a deeper discussion on the comparative periods from the chart to show the type of market behaviour that came next during each of the previous periods.
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Stock Market Update and US Stocks Watchlist – 16 August 2022

With the S&P 500 testing the 200 day MA today and Dow Industrials closing above it, the IBD Industry Group Bullish Percent Index has moved above the 60% level, which is the level that I use to determine the Stage 2 zone. 60%+ is considered in the Stage 2 zone. So although the majority of the major market indexes are only in Stage 1, the Industry Group Bullish Percent breadth data is moving into a tentative Stage 2 zone position...
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