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Stage Analysis

US Stocks Watchlist – 18 August 2022

Exploration & Production was in focus today, with multiple stocks from the group showing up in the scans, but of varying quality. However, the IBD version of the group made a new double top breakout on its P&F chart and so moves back to P&F Bull Confirmed status for the group...
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Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video – 17 August 2022 (1hr 25mins)

This weeks midweek video starts with a feature on the IBD Industry Group Bullish Percent Index, which I highlighted in the blog post on Tuesday. So I wanted to do a deeper discussion on the comparative periods from the chart to show the type of market behaviour that came next during each of the previous periods.
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Stock Market Update and US Stocks Watchlist – 16 August 2022

With the S&P 500 testing the 200 day MA today and Dow Industrials closing above it, the IBD Industry Group Bullish Percent Index has moved above the 60% level, which is the level that I use to determine the Stage 2 zone. 60%+ is considered in the Stage 2 zone. So although the majority of the major market indexes are only in Stage 1, the Industry Group Bullish Percent breadth data is moving into a tentative Stage 2 zone position...
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US Stocks Watchlist – 15 August 2022

Stage 2 Breakout Attempt – COCO was highlighted multiple times in the watchlist since May as it developed a Stage 1 base and moved into late Stage 1B. The last time I highlighted it was on the 25th July at $12 ,as it tightened up near the top of the range and held above the short-term moving averages.
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US Stocks Watchlist – 14 August 2022

Semiconductors was the dominant theme in the weekend scans, with multiple stocks in the group recovering strongly from weakness caused by the NVDA pre-earnings release early in the week. I did an in-focus on the Semiconductors group in the US Stocks Industry Groups Relative Strength Rankings post on Friday evening, including some market breadth data on the group. So take a look at that if you haven't already.
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IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish Percent

The IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish Percent continued to improve over the last week, crossing the mid point of the bell curve and pushing further into the Stage 1 zone (40% to 60% range). With an additional 9.5% of groups leaving the Stage 4 zone (below 40%).
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