Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method
US Stocks Breakouts & Breakdowns - SP500, NYSE, & Nasdaq Stock Charts - Printable Version

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RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - isatrader - 2015-08-25

(2015-08-25, 09:28 PM)Echevarriaeric Wrote: The one thing i never understood from the book was how to set up your stop losses, as far as 7%, 10% ect... can some1 help me

There is a thread on the board that goes into detail on the methods stop loss positioning here: http://stageanalysis.net/forum/showthread.php?tid=25

I hope that helps

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - shaunattwood - 2015-08-26

Short Sales Alert Smile

KSU (400% run-up) and just broke neckline $90 from 3 year top
CSU (500% run-up on 5 year chart) and almost 3 year top at neckline $20

Others on the radar:
F, PRU, DDR, MTW, MOV, SRE, EMC, PRIM, COG, IRBT

Anyone else out there researching shorts? Please post your picks.

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - gbarbs - 2015-08-26

(2015-08-26, 01:09 PM)shaunattwood Wrote: Short Sales Alert Smile

KSU (400% run-up) and just broke neckline $90 from 3 year top
CSU (500% run-up on 5 year chart) and almost 3 year top at neckline $20

Others on the radar:
F, PRU, DDR, MTW, MOV, SRE, EMC, PRIM, COG, IRBT

Anyone else out there researching shorts? Please post your picks.

I will post when I get them together but I am managing an IRA and cannot short individual stocks. I will have to go long on a short ETF. So I will be focusing on the weakest sectors but will be going through individual charts and will post good ones.

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - gbarbs - 2015-08-27

Short ETFs to watch...I liked Basic Materials as one to get into now, and industrials. The US dollar and Gold look like possible shorts as well although I may just stick to the sectors and S&P.

Be mindful of the ultrashorts. Those are leveraged and move twice as much as the regular index does on the downside. What I plan to do is instead of buying $100 for example, buy $50 and then give it twice the room to move on a percentage basis. So that I don't overextend myself, I'll just set aside that other $50 in my account.

I selected these vs others based on relative strength and how close they are to their breakout.

SMN, SIJ, RXD, SSG, UDN, GLL

SDS and SH are short the S&P. SDS is the 2x leveraged option.

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - JimStudent - 2015-08-31

(2015-08-27, 09:02 PM)gbarbs Wrote: Short ETFs to watch ....
SDS and SH are short the S&P. SDS is the 2x leveraged option.

A shout out and much thanks to gbarbs and shaunattwood for posting and helping us keep our eyes on the trend and what Stan would focus on.

One of the reasons I am so appreciative for your posts is this board has gone so quiet, which I don't understand. This is one of the most exciting times to be following the market since I first read 'Secrets for profiting in Bull and Bear Markets'. Unfortunately, I was so busy reading and listening to so many voices that I missed Stan's perspective on what was happening in August.

Your posts are helping me focus on Weinstein's instructions. Thanks again!
(2015-08-31, 06:18 AM)JimStudent Wrote: A shout out and much thanks to gbarbs and shaunattwood for posting and helping us keep our eyes on the trend and what Stan would focus on.


Also thanks as always to Isatrader for all your insights.

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - isatrader - 2015-08-31

(2015-08-31, 06:18 AM)JimStudent Wrote: A shout out and much thanks to gbarbs and shaunattwood for posting and helping us keep our eyes on the trend and what Stan would focus on.

One of the reasons I am so appreciative for your posts is this board has gone so quiet, which I don't understand. This is one of the most exciting times to be following the market since I first read 'Secrets for profiting in Bull and Bear Markets'. Unfortunately, I was so busy reading and listening to so many voices that I missed Stan's perspective on what was happening in August.

Your posts are helping me focus on Weinstein's instructions. Thanks again!

Also thanks as always to Isatrader for all your insights.

Hi Jim,

The reason for the board going quiet is because I've had to scale back the time I spend on here due to an increased workload running my design business, which is giving me very little free time for anything else. And I was doing around 80% of the posts on here, as the majority of members mostly read the site but don't tend to get involved.

My original hope with the website was that there would be less lurking from members as time went on, and that more people would get involved as their understanding of the method got better. However, this hasn't happened, except for a few core members, and so it still relies on me for the majority of new content, and so with my limited time at the moment I need other members to apply what they've learnt from the site and have discussions about promising stocks showing the right attributes.

As far as the markets go, even with the more limited posting that I've been doing, I began highlighting the various breakdowns in the market breadth charts back in early June, which along with the behaviour of the stocks in my portfolio caused me to exit all of my long positions on the 9th June and go to 100% cash as I mentioned at the time in my trading journal thread. Since then I've highlighted that the Weight of Evidence from the market breadth measures has continued to get even weaker, and so I think at the very least, people following Stan’s method that read the board should have seen the increased risk factors well before the August breakdown as there was multiple posts highlighting that the Weight of Evidence was showing that more stocks were in Stages 3 and 4 than they were in Stages 1 and 2, and the major US indexes themselves (which lag individual stocks that make up the indexes remember) were showing signs of Stage 3.

So personally I think the method performed beautifully with this recent breakdown, highlighting the increased risks in the US market well in advance in the weight of evidence, and via the multiple failed breakouts and majority of stocks moving into Stages 3 and 4, then finally the indexes themselves.

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - isatrader - 2015-08-31

Here's a number of large cap stocks for the short watchlist

RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium) - isatrader - 2015-08-31

...continued for the short watchlist