Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method
US Stocks Breakouts & Breakdowns - SP500, NYSE, & Nasdaq Stock Charts - Printable Version

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RE: Watchlist - Investor method - Locked in - 2013-05-22

As Mr. Good mentioned on this thread earlier, the greek etf GREK had a breakout to all time highs a week or two ago. I noticed it has made a nice pullback since then and might be about time for a pullback entry. I usually like to wait until it starts heading up..

Anyway, with the SP500 being so parabolic recently, I feel if/when we see the pullback, some of that money might flow into Europe. I was thinking GREK might be a nice hedge against open investor positions in the US markets.??. Could always go the supershort sp500 method as well (SDS). Just wondering what you guys think-

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - RUTrading - 2013-05-23

(2013-05-22, 04:37 PM)isatrader Wrote: The fantastic "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" book mentions it a few times during the story.

Thanks goodtyneguy and isatrader, very interesting. Still yet to read Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, but have new inspiration to do so.

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - isatrader - 2013-05-24

I had a look through the list of early breakdowns today in the NYSE, and NVR and BAP caught my attention for potential trader method candidates in the near future. Both are making potential head and shoulders Stage 3 tops with relative performance breakdowns below the zero line in the last month. Price has rolled over below a declining 10 week MA on both, but the 30 week MA is still rising, and they are both above their 200 day MA still and have also have price support close below still. So I'd put both in Stage 3/3B as any breakdown into Stage 4A would be an early one, and hence why I think they would more suitable for the trader method currently.

NVR

       

BAP

       

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - isatrader - 2013-05-28

Attached are number of stocks currently in various phases of Stage 1 for the watchlist, although EQR is technically in early Stage 2A, but thought it was worth putting on the watchlist as had some good volume the last few weeks on the breakout.

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - isatrader - 2013-05-29

Soybeans is starting to look interesting again, after basing for the last 7 months or so. Currently it's attempting to make a weekly close above the 200 day MA and the Stage 1 range. So I'd put it as being in Stage 1B imo. Attached is the daily and weekly charts.

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - isatrader - 2013-05-30

Paypoint (PAY.L) has made a Stage 2 continuation move this week, after a six month consolidation, mostly above it's rising 30 week MA. The weekly technical attributes score is currently 7 out of 8, and I have the swing target from the range up to 1025.5, so could be a potential trader play if it can close the week strongly.

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - bluemosaic - 2013-05-30

"The weekly technical attributes score is currently 7 out of 8"

I know it will be on this great forum somewhere but where I can find the list of these ?

Thanks (again!)
:-)

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - isatrader - 2013-05-30

(2013-05-30, 11:35 AM)bluemosaic Wrote: "The weekly technical attributes score is currently 7 out of 8"

I know it will be on this great forum somewhere but where I can find the list of these ?

Thanks (again!)
:-)

It's a scoring system based on the method that I floated in my ideas and ramblings thread in April in the private section of the site. And have since refined so that I can see the majority of the technical attributes on a single chart. As the sector part of the scoring needs to be done separately, so I've taken that out so that it's just based on the stock. The concept is that it gives a quick look at the main requirements of the method - price action, relative performance, volume, support and resistance, to give me extra assistance when visually scanning charts.

StageAnalysis Technical Attributes - SATA
  1. 10 Week Simple MA Rising
  2. 30 Week Simple MA Rising
  3. 52 Week Mansfield Relative Performance above Zero Line
  4. Relative Performance 30 Week Weighted Moving Average Rising
  5. Force Index Cumulative Volume above 9 Week MA (on a buy signal)
  6. Force Index Cumulative Volume 9 Week MA Rising
  7. Weekly MACD above Zero
  8. Price Greater than the Kijun Line (part of the "Ichimoku Kinko Hyo" method, which focuses on dynamic support and resistance zones.)
Each item in the list is given a score of +1 or 0, and then they are added up to get the total score. In the attached example, you can see that PAY.L has been in a strong Stage 2 for the last few years, and the recent breakdown below the 30 week MA took the SATA score down to a neutral 4 out of 8, but it has now recovered back up to a 7 out of 8 on the Stage 2 continuation move, and will likely become an 8 in the next few weeks if the continuation move goes any higher.

I hope that makes sense. It's basically an quick automated way to look for the methods basic requirements when I'm visually scanning the charts.