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+--- Thread: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis (/Thread-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-and-Market-Breadth-Technical-Analysis)
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US Industry Sectors - isatrader - 2013-10-19
Attached are the updated US Major Sector Charts and relative performance table.
UK FTSE 350 Sectors Relative Performance - isatrader - 2013-10-19
Attached is the Relative performance tables for the UK FTSE 350 Sectors.
FTSE 350 Sectors - Ordered by Overall RS Score
FTSE 350 Sectors - Ordered by Weekly Change
FTSE 350 Sectors - Ordered by Monthly Change
Ford (F) - investor trailing stop loss example - isatrader - 2013-10-21
I've been following Ford (F) since the beginning of the year since highlighting that it had moved into early Stage 2 a few weeks after it's Stage 2A breakout in December 2012 on the old T2W Stage Analysis thread http://www.trade2win.com/boards/technical-analysis/134944-stan-weinsteins-stage-analysis-96.html#post2048194
Then in early March 2013 following the initial pullback I talked about the secondary entry point in the investor watchlist thread here: http://stageanalysis.net/forum/showthread.php?tid=15&pid=211#pid211 and have been following it throughout it's Stage 2 advance on the forum to show a real time example of using the investor stop loss method.
Since the secondary entry point in March it's made two successful continuation moves, and is attempting to make a third, although it's had one failed attempt. So the current move back towards the highs could see it breakout once again, or it might fail and move to test the recent weekly swing low. So if you follow Weinstein's trailing investor stop loss method then you would have raised your stop loss on the continuation move at the beginning of July, and then again as price moved above the swing high in early September to underneath the the August swing low of 15.71 and the 30 week moving average, which would have put it roughly under 15. The 30 week moving average has moved up since above the swing low, and so you could tighten up a bit more under 15.71 now imo to protect the bulk of the gains in this great example of a Stage 2 advance.
Attached is the weekly chart with the marked up trailing investor stop loss positions imo. I've highlighted the initial placements following the continuation moves and the potential weekly raises under the 30 week MA until below the swing low at which point you are no longer allowed to raise it until price moves back close to the previous swing high.
RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Tryst - 2013-10-22
great post and example of how to use a stop lose with the Weinstein method
RE: Market Breadth Update - isatrader - 2013-10-23
I've discovered a problem in the NYSE Bullish Percent ($BPNYA) that stockcharts shows, in that since the beginning of October they have changed how it is calculated to include intraday data, instead of close only data like it had been previously. Which wouldn't be a problem, however the data they are using is opening considerably lower at the beginning of each day and then recovering sharply every time (see attached), and hence I believe it's giving false readings, which is swinging the normally slow moving $BYNYA all over the place the last few weeks.
After speaking to stockcharts support, they suggested switching to use close only data on the P&F chart, which shows that the double top breakout last week didn't happen, and so the $BPNYA is still in a column of Os on Bear Confirmed since 3rd September.
UPDATE: 26/10/13
After further conversations with stockcharts support staff I've managed to convince them that there was a problem with the data, and their programmers have now made some changes to fix the problem, which look like like they took effect on Friday (see attached below). So hopefully the problem is now fixed and you hence there shouldn't be anymore false signals on the high low data chart, but I'm going to continue to use the close only data, as that's what the data has been in the past and only shows the significant changes, which is what I want with this longer term measure.
RE: Market Breadth Extra - isatrader - 2013-10-23
I've discovered a problem in the NYSE Bullish Percent ($BPNYA) that stockcharts shows, in that since the beginning of October they have changed how it is calculated to include intraday data, instead of close only data like it had been previously. Which wouldn't be a problem, however the data they are using is opening considerably lower at the beginning of each day and then recovering sharply every time (see attached), and hence I believe it's giving false readings, which is swinging the normally slow moving $BYNYA all over the place the last few weeks.
After speaking to stockcharts support, they suggested switching to use close only data on the P&F chart, which shows that the double top breakout last week didn't happen, and so the $BPNYA is still in a column of Os on Bear Confirmed since 3rd September.
I've urged them to fix the intraday data, so hopefully they'll listen, as we don't want incorrect data on one of the most important breadth charts.
UPDATE: 26/10/13
After further conversations with stockcharts support staff I've managed to convince them that there was a problem with the data, and their programmers have now made some changes to fix the problem, which look like like they took effect on Friday (see attached below). So hopefully the problem is now fixed and you hence there shouldn't be anymore false signals on the high low data chart, but I'm going to continue to use the close only data, as that's what the data has been in the past and only shows the significant changes, which is what I want with this longer term measure.
S&P 500 Cumulative P&F Breakouts - Breakdowns - isatrader - 2013-10-26
Attached is the exclusive S&P 500 Cumulative P&F Breakouts - Breakdowns charts.
There was 64 breakouts and 9 breakdowns this week, taking the total for the month of October so far to 182 breakouts and 48 breakdowns.
Advance Decline Breadth Charts - isatrader - 2013-10-26
Attached is the updated Advance Decline Breadth Charts, including the cumulative AD line, momentum index, cumulative AD volume line, 10 Day AD oscillator and the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index.
Note the breakout that I highlighted last week in the standard cumulative Advance Decline line is now showing with breakouts in a number of the alternate Advance Decline measures.