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Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - Printable Version

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RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Discussion Thread - isatrader - 2013-06-30

Below is the updated the weekly FTSE 350 stocks and sectors relative performance tables

FTSE 350 Sectors by Overall RS Score

   

Top 50 FTSE 350 Stocks by Overall RS Score

   

Also attached below is the biggest moving FTSE 350 stocks since last week by their Mansfield Relative Performance figures.

FTSE 350 Gainers

   

FTSE 350 Fallers

   

To view the entire FTSE 350 stocks in the spreadsheet click the following link: FTSE 350 Stocks RS.xlsx and use the tabs at the bottom to see the different views by overall relative strength or by weekly RS change.

Major Stock Indexes Update - isatrader - 2013-06-30

Attached is the updated major equity index charts and relative performance table.

[Image: attachment.php?aid=1744]

US Stock Indexes

               

European Stock Indexes

       

Commodities Update and the Dollar Index - isatrader - 2013-06-30

Attached is the updated major commodities charts, Gold (GC), Copper (HG), West Texas Intermediate Crude (CL) and the Dollar Index (DX).

US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries - isatrader - 2013-06-30

Attached is the updated US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries charts

US Industry Sectors - isatrader - 2013-06-30

Attached are the updated US Industry Sector Charts and relative performance table.

[Image: attachment.php?aid=1753]

RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Discussion Thread - Lplate - 2013-06-30

(2013-04-01, 10:48 AM)Lplate Wrote: [END OF MARCH 13] . . . that Europe and Germany are in a Stage 3, on the brink of a breakdown, that UK is a little better clinging to stage 2, that Asia ex-Japan is still in stage 2, probably held up by Japan holding still strongly in stage 2 . . .
For new fund investors, there are no apparent stage 2 breakouts, so the Weinstein bets seem to still be on the strong stage 2s for US and Japan.

(2013-04-30, 07:31 AM)Lplate Wrote: [END OF APRIL 13] . . . looking at the regions again, Asia-excl Japan (EPP) has a continuation b/o and I have shown Australia's (EWA) b/o separately. http://tinyurl.com/bo8xzw2 UK (EWU) also shows a continuation b/o.
The charts show daily, but weekly are similar.

(2013-05-25, 10:42 AM)Lplate Wrote: [END OF MAY 13] . . . Japan EWJ setback looks palatable to recatch sight of the 30-week MA,
but Australia EWA looks a breakdown of both support and of the 30-week MA, like Asia excluding Japan EPP.
Latin ILF and Bricks BKF are still sideways.
UK EWU and Europe FEZ have reversed a little at resistance, but still look OK,
but not as good as USA Russell IWF (nor Japan)
With only USA and Japan looking still in good weekly uptrends the global stockmarket strength is narrow.
UK and Europe will be the ones to watch for further retreat from the resistance level

I have changed this to 2-year graphs, to make the last few weeks clearer.
http://tinyurl.com/nhjuwqt
My last ipdate 5 weeks ago was following a big move downwards in mid May.
The regions looking weaker above, Japan, Europe and UK, Brics and Latin, indeed turned weaker, and so, with only USA IWM in stage 2, this year has been a "Sell in May" year.
This also suggests that any big weekly price move down, even when still in stage 2 or 3, means it is not enough to monitor just monthly but you need to monitor weekly at least.
Japan EWJ was in stage 2 just about, but is now in stage 3, though still holding above a rising 30 wk WMA.
Europe FEZ and UK EWU have now broken below a still rising 30 wk WMA, so holders should be selling. They are stage 3 at best and in a couple of weeks could be stage 4s. 2012 lows are approx 20% below here.
Brics BKL and Latin America ILF were sideways despite the big falls 6 weeks ago, but are now clearly stage 4s
Asia excl Japan EPP and Australia EWA proceed down in stage 4.

RE: Market Breadth Update - isatrader - 2013-06-30

The majority of sectors had a small rebound this week with the exception of Basic Materials which continued to fall and Utilities which had a strong rebound. However, all sectors remain below their 10 week moving averages in a downtrend on a sell signal currently for this medium term measure, but still mostly in the upper middle bull normal range, with the exception of Basic Materials which is firmly in Bearish territory.

Below is the data table for the Percent of Stocks Above 150 Day Moving Average in each sector which I've ordered by relative strength, with the highest to the lowest percentage in each sector. Also attached is the visual diagram of the 9 sectors and the NYSE Percentage of Stocks above their 150 day Moving Averages line chart.

[Image: attachment.php?aid=1761]

Stage Examples - isatrader - 2013-07-01

I've begun to create the Stage examples from a few of the Global Trend Alert (GTA) Reports that I've been able to get hold of over the last few years. I've created a new section called "Learn the Four Stages" within the Stage Analysis section, but this is only visible to people who have registered as members on the site, so guests won't be able to view them.

So if you are viewing this as a guest then I'd recommend taking a minute to register as a member on here - which is free of charge, and will give you access to the members only content like the Stage examples and Stop Loss Positioning Guide etc, as well as the ability to post on the threads.

Here's the link to the Learn the Four Stages members only section: http://stageanalysis.net/forum/forumdisplay.php?fid=4