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Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - Printable Version

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RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - grbaNT - 2018-08-26

Attached are the updated charts of the RABWDB Indicator, Individual Phases, SP500 RABWDB, SP400 RABWDB and SP600 RABWDB.

Quick description of the indicator: Sample is the same as for the Survey (2287 stocks). Stock classification is done as per Chuck Dukas's TrendAdvisor Diamond described in his book (see attached TrendAdvisor Diamond). Stocks in bullish, accumulation and recovery phases are considered healthy and cumulatively plotted as an oscillator, same as in the Survey. Those in warning, distribution and bearish phases are considered technically unhealthy.


RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - grbaNT - 2018-08-26

Attached are the updated charts of the US Stock Market Survey Indicator, Individual Stages, SP500 Survey, SP400 Survey and SP600 Survey.

If you want to read my commentary, please go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/search/label/Market%20Breadth
To learn more about the indicator go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/2018/02/stan-weinsteins-us-stock-market-survey.html


RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - pcabc - 2018-08-26

(2018-08-26, 08:36 AM)grbaNT Wrote: Attached are the updated charts of the US Stock Market Survey Indicator, Individual Stages, SP500 Survey, SP400 Survey and SP600 Survey.

If you want to read my commentary, please go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/search/label/Market%20Breadth
To learn more about the indicator go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/2018/02/stan-weinsteins-us-stock-market-survey.html

Interesting commentary, especially with respect to the movement of the various stages.  My plots are about as positive as they can be so it is an interesting contrast.


RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - pcabc - 2018-08-26

My breadth charts

US
   

UK
   


RE: Major US Stock Indexes Update - NYSE, Nasdaq, S&P 500, DJIA & S&P 600 small caps - isatrader - 2018-08-26

Here's the overview charts of the US Bullish Percent and Moving Average Breadth.

Note: NYSE and Dow 30 Indexes are both within stiking distance of a Stage 2 attempts, which the other indexes have already achieved. I've included the P&F chart of the NYSE Percentage of Stocks above their 150 day Moving Average, as it shows the Stage 2 level clearly. i.e. a move above 64% will give the next breadth signal in the NYSE.

                       


Cumulative P&F Breakouts - Breakdowns custom Breadth charts - isatrader - 2018-08-26

Attached is my updated custom breadth charts that I do based on the daily point and figure double top breakouts and double bottom breakdowns.

Totals for the week:

+394 double top breakouts
-85 double bottom breakdowns

+309 net breakouts

                       


RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - BarnabeBear - 2018-08-27

Thanks Isa for your posts, I find your custom charts extremely interesting.
Have you tried to chart them alongside the indices to see how this indicator behaves as an early warning sign for the DJIA/NDX/SPX?

By the way during the hols I've read Dorsey's P&F book: very verbose and extremely marketing-oriented to get you to subscribe to his website BUT regardless a very interesting read on P&F that I had not really gotten into so far.
So thanks a lot also for pointing me in this direction. I love it that it is very boolean and not open for discussion: has it double topped or not ? Hence the interest of what you're doing with this, ie building a database for all stocks. Very astute. You've opened up a whole world for me. Thanks again.


RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - isatrader - 2018-08-27

(2018-08-27, 10:29 PM)BarnabeBear Wrote: Thanks Isa for your posts, I find your custom charts extremely interesting.
Have you tried to chart them alongside the indices to see how this indicator behaves as an early warning sign for the DJIA/NDX/SPX?

By the way during the hols I've read Dorsey's P&F book: very verbose and extremely marketing-oriented to get you to subscribe to his website BUT regardless a very interesting read on P&F that I had not really gotten into so far.
So thanks a lot also for pointing me in this direction. I love it that it is very boolean and not open for discussion: has it double topped or not ? Hence the interest of what you're doing with this, ie building a database for all stocks. Very astute. You've opened up a whole world for me. Thanks again.

It is a constant sales pitch to get you onto his service, but like you said, none the less it does present some very interesting ways of using P&F charting which complements Weinsteins' method, i.e. the relative strength charting of the sectors and stocks against their peers etc. As it gives a systematic approach to using the relative performance of stocks versus numerous metrics to help you focus on most technically heathly stocks in the strongest sectors. And P&F gives clear breakout and breakdown points and levels that help with Stage Analysis.

But also the numerous ways of using P&F charts with market breadth data, some of which I've shown over the years on here. i.e. the Percentage of stocks above their moving averages, and the bullish percent indexes etc.

With regards to my custom P&F charts, I find that they give similar signals to the various AD charts. i.e divergences etc. But the clearest signals are often in the daily data itself. For example extreme days in the number of breakouts or breakdowns that tie in with other things happening in the other breadth charts and price charts themselves. But at it's most simple level it gives me a simple risk on or risk off signal based on whether it's above it's 20 day MA or not, which gives me reason to tighten stops and consider taking profits.