Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - Printable Version +- Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum) +-- Forum: Main Board (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Main-Board) +--- Forum: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Stock Charts, Technical Analysis, Learn to Trade, Stocks, ETF, NYSE, Nasdaq (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-Stock-Charts-Technical-Analysis-Learn-to-Trade-Stocks-ETF-NYSE-Nasdaq) +--- Thread: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis (/Thread-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-and-Market-Breadth-Technical-Analysis) Pages:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
|
Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - isatrader - 2013-02-25 Welcome to the Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis Discussion Thread. I've been running this thread on another forum since September 2011 here: https://www.trade2win.com/boards/technical-analysis/134944-stan-weinsteins-stage-analysis.html, but it's become too big to manage in a single thread. So I've created this forum for it, so that the charts can be organised in a logical way, which will make it easier for everyone to find what they are interested in. The previous thread has over a year and half of posts, detailed discussions, interviews, examples etc, and so is an excellent starting point for anyone wanting to learn Stan Weinstein's method, but I hope to take it to the next level on here. If you are viewing this as a guest then I'd recommend taking a minute to register as a member on here - which is free of charge, and will give you access to all main boards and the ability to post in this thread, as only members are allowed to contribute to the site. Anyway, I hope you enjoy the thread. Definitions of the Stages and Sub-stages Stage 1A Start of a base. Needs much more time. Stage 1 Basing Phase. May begin accumulation. Stage 1B Late in base-building phase. Watch for breakout. Stage 2A Early in uptrend stage. Ideal time to buy aggressively. Stage 2 Advancing Stage. Stage 2B Getting late in uptrend. Stage 3A Looks as if a top is starting to form. Be sure to protect holdings with a close stop. Stage 3 The Top Area. Start to reduce positions. Stage 3B Has become increasingly toppy. Use rallies for at least partial selling. Stage 4A Stock has entered Downtrend Stage. Close out remaining positions. Stage 4 The Declining Stage. Avoid on the long side. Stage 4B Late in downtrend. Much too soon to consider buying. Stage 4B- Although not yet 'officially' in Stage 1A, stock has now seen its low for the cycle. Additional ratings (A) Early in that Stage. (B) Late in that Stage. (+) Outstanding pattern in that Stage. (–) Unexciting pattern in that Stage. Training Courses Udemy – Video Training Course Learn Stock Trading & Investing Techniques – Stage Analysis Beginners Guide to Trading Stocks With the Stage Analysis Method – Made Famous in Stan Weinstein’s Classic Book Interviews Video Interview from the day of the 1987 Stock Market crash Black Monday - Part 2 - Nightly Business Report Oct.19, 1987 - YouTube Stan Weinstein Q&A https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/showthread.php?tid=1&pid=623#pid623 Interview with Stan Weinstein | Stage Analysis Secrets | The TraderLion Podcast | Ep. 1 https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Thread-Stage-Analysis-Beginners-Questions?pid=18673#pid18673 Reading Global Trend Alert example - March 2005 https://www.trade2win.com/threads/stan-weinsteins-stage-analysis.134944/post-1675626 Extract from Stan Weinstein's interview in the "Technically Speaking" book https://www.trade2win.com/threads/stan-weinsteins-stage-analysis.134944/post-2037672 Extract from Stan Weinstein's interview in the "The Heretics of Finance" book https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/showthread.php?tid=1&pid=12200#pid12200 Indicators Tradingview: Mansfield Relative Strength (Original Version): https://www.tradingview.com/script/NzUBDDtb-Mansfield-Relative-Strength-Original-Version-by-stageanalysis/ Relative Strength (Mansfield RS) – Unflattened Version: https://www.tradingview.com/script/dfNpAY5e-Relative-Strength-Mansfield-RS/ Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA): https://www.tradingview.com/script/o8cHtWrP-Stage-Analysis-Technical-Attributes-SATA-by-stageanalysis/ Miscellaneous How to create the Mansfield Relative Strength Indicator https://stageanalysis.net/forum/showthread.php?tid=31 Buying Reference https://www.trade2win.com/threads/stan-weinsteins-stage-analysis.134944/post-1692514 Point and Figure Charts - Free resources to help learn P&F charting https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:pnf_charts Effective Volume Analysis - Link to the website that covers everything to do with the Effective Volume data from the book Value in Time: Better Trading through Effective Volume http://www.effectivevolume.com/content.php?156-etf-review Major Charts Update - week ending 22nd February 2013 Attached is the updated major charts and the relative performance table. The FTSE 100 holds onto the top spot for another week, while the DAX moves back to second place. The notable mover this week in the table was the Dollar Index (DX) which moved up two places to 8th. The Dollar Index made a closing breakout above the 200 day MA, but didn't close the week above the November high however. The 30 week weighted MA turned up, bu the 30 week SMA is still declining, and so if it breakouts here it wouldn't be considered a valid Stage 2 entry point until the 30 week MA stabilised. It has however, been a big driving force behind the commodity declines this week along with the Chinese market ($SSEC) pullback, which particularly affected Copper and the Base Materials sector. Treasuries also had a strong week and closed around the top of the one month range and above their reasonably steep downtrend lines, but are still well below declining 30 week MAs. Market Breadth Update - isatrader - 2013-02-25 Attached is the long, medium and short term moving average breadth charts and the NYSE Bullish Percent Index. The short term moving average breadth charts continued to deteriorate this week and most gave high pole warnings and below their 50 day MAs on the line charts, which moves them to Bear Alert status imo. The medium term NYSE Percentage of Stocks above their 150 day Moving Averages chart also changed columns to Os on Thursday and so moved to Bull Correction status. RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Discussion Thread - isatrader - 2013-02-25 Attached is the the weekly and daily charts of the major sectors and below is the relative performance table in order of strength. Notable changes this week were the crosses above and below the zero line for Consumer Staples (XLP) and Basic Materials (XLB) and the move off the bottom stop for Utilities (XLU). Health Care (XLV) also moved up and so the three defensive sectors showed the best relative performance which is unsurprising considering the volatile week in the US market. US Industry Sectors Breadth - isatrader - 2013-02-25 There was numerous changes this week for the first time this year with four more sectors moving below their 10 week MAs. Consumer Staples, Technology, Energy, Health Care all move to a sell signal and so the market is very mixed with four sectors still green and five now red. Financials and Industrials remain the strongest sectors with over 80% of their stocks above their 150 day moving averages whereas Health Care and Basic Materials are the weakest sectors with only 55.94% and 52% of their stocks above their 150 day moving averages. Below is the data table for the Percent of Stocks Above 150 Day Moving Average in each sector which I've ordered by relative strength, with the highest to the lowest percentage in each sector. Also attached is the visual diagram of the 9 sectors and the overall NYSE Percentage of Stocks above their 150 day Moving Averages, plus the 1% P&F chart and line chart of the nine sectors. And the rest of the weeks breadth charts... - isatrader - 2013-02-25 Here's the rest of the weeks breadth charts I follow... Notes:
RE: Market Breadth Update - isatrader - 2013-02-26 The medium term NYSE Percentage of Stocks above their 150 day Moving Averages chart added an additional O today, which means it's dropped below 50% of the previous column of Xs, and hence given a P&F High Pole warning. So the status changes from Bull Correction to Bear Alert now for the medium term moving average breadth chart. RE: Market Breadth Update - theblackmamba - 2013-02-26 interestingly that although the market reversed hard yesterday the $BPNYA hardly fell at all.. RE: Market Breadth Update - isatrader - 2013-02-26 (2013-02-26, 10:50 AM)theblackmamba Wrote: interestingly that although the market reversed hard yesterday the bpnya hardly fell at all.. That's partly because of the nature of how P&F charts are calculated in that they can only move once per day. i.e. yesterday had a strong open and so a lot of stocks would have added an additional X if they were already in a column of Xs, even if they later reversed lower, as they can only make one move per day. The $BPNYA is a compilation of the percent of stocks that trade on the NYSE that are on Point and Figure buy signals and tells you whether to be offensive or defensive with your strategy. And it also takes a lot to move the NYSE Bullish Percent Index because of the large amount of stocks in it, which is why it's used as a long term gauge of risk and not a so much as a timing measure. |