Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method
US Stocks Breakouts & Breakdowns - SP500, NYSE, & Nasdaq Stock Charts - Printable Version

+- Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum)
+-- Forum: Main Board (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Main-Board)
+--- Forum: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Stock Charts, Technical Analysis, Learn to Trade, Stocks, ETF, NYSE, Nasdaq (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-Stock-Charts-Technical-Analysis-Learn-to-Trade-Stocks-ETF-NYSE-Nasdaq)
+--- Thread: US Stocks Breakouts & Breakdowns - SP500, NYSE, & Nasdaq Stock Charts (/Thread-US-Stocks-Breakouts-Breakdowns-SP500-NYSE-Nasdaq-Stock-Charts)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556


RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - isatrader - 2018-05-05

For the watchlist from Fridays scans - BID, CHUY, CRC, CYBR, EZPW, FDC, GHL, ITGR, KPTI, MRE.TO, PE, PES, PXX.TO, TH.TO, THCX.V

                                                           


RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - isatrader - 2018-05-05

AZ.TO - I've been watching this miner for a while, after playing it's initial continuation breakout at the start of the year. For the last three months it's formed a very tight range, and is once again trading near to a recent swing high. So is one I'm watching very closely for a breakout attempt.

       


RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - badcharts - 2018-05-06

Hi Isa,

Some thoughts running through my mind...

I find your scans to be "on point". I love giving creadit to stageanalysis.net on my podcasts, and hope other Stan Weinstein advocates come over here to get them properly started.

They often inspire me to look at new tickers not yet under my radar + they are in line with Stan Weinstein framework Wink

I'm thinking what would be nice is a scanner for pullbacks on low volume, occuring 1-3 months after a bonified breakout is confirmed.

Advantages:
1- Increase position size , skewing risk to reward in your favor risk (closer entry to breakout line, means bigger posisiton size to a limit of 1% potential impact on nav)
2- Reduce chance of landing on a "emotion landmine" by jumping the gun on a "possible" breakout not yet "triply confirmed"
3- Another "healthy" aspect of stage 2 or stage 4 is the initial pullback on contracting volume. If you get in early on breakoutm there is some chance that you might pull back on high volume => warning sign !
4- In other words, avoid potentiel whipsasws with false breakouts

Disadvantages:
1- Miss out on breakouts that never pullback

I don't really mind the disadvantage, as that can be overcome with scanning a pleathora of stocks. I really like the advantages, bigger posisiton size, plus less risk of false breakout since pullback to breakout line is on contracting volume.

You think this is possible scan to do? I guess we would need to start creating a list of "known" stocks that have broken out (triply confirmed) and have a scan check the behavior for the next 1 to 3 months. When price gets back to x% from breakout line, calculate average vol for red candles and compare to previous green candles after breakout.

Yep.. thinking when I'm tired makes me think outside the "box" Wink

Regards,

Patrick

(2018-05-05, 11:57 AM)isatrader Wrote: AZ.TO - I've been watching this miner for a while, after playing it's initial continuation breakout at the start of the year. For the last three months it's formed a very tight range, and is once again trading near to a recent swing high. So is one I'm watching very closely for a breakout attempt.



RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - isatrader - 2018-05-06

(2018-05-06, 08:36 PM)badcharts Wrote: You think this is possible scan to do? I guess we would need to start creating a list of "known" stocks that have broken out (triply confirmed) and have a scan check the behavior for the next 1 to 3 months. When price gets back to x% from breakout line, calculate average vol for red candles and compare to previous green candles after breakout.

I think it's possible, but with the scans you have to limit the amount of variables that you put in to get good results. As your eyes are what ultimately does the best scans with Weinsteins method. So I find it best to use a scan with a few key variables that will produce a hundred or so results and then manually go through the charts to find the potentials.

For the scan you are looking for I'd suggest scanning for a touch of the 50 day MA, but daily close above it, in a stock that has a rising 150 day MA and made a new 50 day high in the last month, with lower than it's 50 day average daily volume. This a quick idea, but think it might give you some reasonable results and then could be improved.


RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - badcharts - 2018-05-06

Isa,

Yes, I realized that also, nothing beats the human eye!

Will check fiddle around with your ideas and see what type of results I come up with.

Regards,

Patrick

(2018-05-06, 09:12 PM)isatrader Wrote:
(2018-05-06, 08:36 PM)badcharts Wrote: You think this is possible scan to do? I guess we would need to start creating a list of "known" stocks that have broken out (triply confirmed) and have a scan check the behavior for the next 1 to 3 months. When price gets back to x% from breakout line, calculate average vol for red candles and compare to previous green candles after breakout.

I think it's possible, but with the scans you have to limit the amount of variables that you put in to get good results. As your eyes are what ultimately does the best scans with Weinsteins method. So I find it best to use a scan with a few key variables that will produce a hundred or so results and then manually go through the charts to find the potentials.

For the scan you are looking for I'd suggest scanning for a touch of the 50 day MA, but daily close above it, in a stock that has a rising 150 day MA and made a new 50 day high in the last month, with lower than it's 50 day average daily volume. This a quick idea, but think it might give you some reasonable results and then could be improved.



RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - isatrader - 2018-05-06

(2018-05-06, 09:26 PM)badcharts Wrote: Will check fiddle around with your ideas and see what type of results I come up with.

Another idea might simply be to create a chartlist of all the early Stage 2 breakouts already in progress. i.e making their first or second significant advance higher following the initial Stage 2A breakout point on heavy volume i.e during wave 1 or wave 3 if you like Elliott wave theory. And then just simply look through the chartlist at the end of each week for the first multi week pullback.

At that point if you drop down the timeframes to the 2 hour chart, you can practice Stage Analysis on an intraday level to perfectly time the entry point, as the pullback on the 2 hour chart will present as a Stage 4 decline if you setup the 2 hour chart with the same settings as the weekly chart.

So you simply wait for the stocks Stage 1 base to form on the 2 hour chart, and monitor the volume of the decline compared to the 2 hour Stage 2 advance that just preceeded it. Then as the pullback slows you should see a Stage 1 base forming on the 2 hour chart, which after the initial bounce will give you a level to watch for a Stage 2A breakout as it would on the weekly, you can even use the 2 hour ichimoku cloud to see resistance. Then as with a weekly Stage 2A breakout, all the same rules apply. The breakout above that Stage 1 level should be on at least 2x the volume on the 2 hour chart, and it should be relatively outperforming the S&P 500, or it's a pass.

This multi timeframe method on pullbacks is not part of Stans method, but something I've used to good effect many times, and something that I'm continuing to refine as my own improvement to the Stage Analysis method. As well as a multi timeframe approach on the breakouts, where I use the monthly, weekly, daily and 2 hours charts.


RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - badcharts - 2018-05-07

Isa,

You're forcing me to take a nice warm coffe and read this correctly!

I also look at the higher trend to confimr the "wind" direction and look at smaller timeframes to confirm (for non-marabuzo candles) if the pullback was (wick) done on contracting volume (healthy). You are right, you become more more procficient in avoiding whipsaws when you levergae different timeframes.

I somethimes feel like I'm in the movei "Inception" when manipulating different timeframes. kinda cool actually when I think of it.

Always great getting your feeback!

Regards,

Patrick


(2018-05-06, 10:52 PM)isatrader Wrote:
(2018-05-06, 09:26 PM)badcharts Wrote: Will check fiddle around with your ideas and see what type of results I come up with.

Another idea might simply be to create a chartlist of all the early Stage 2 breakouts already in progress. i.e making their first or second significant advance higher following the initial Stage 2A breakout point on heavy volume i.e during wave 1 or wave 3 if you like Elliott wave theory. And then just simply look through the chartlist at the end of each week for the first multi week pullback.

At that point if you drop down the timeframes to the 2 hour chart, you can practice Stage Analysis on an intraday level to perfectly time the entry point, as the pullback on the 2 hour chart will present as a Stage 4 decline if you setup the 2 hour chart with the same settings as the weekly chart.

So you simply wait for the stocks Stage 1 base to form on the 2 hour chart, and monitor the volume of the decline compared to the 2 hour Stage 2 advance that just preceeded it. Then as the pullback slows you should see a Stage 1 base forming on the 2 hour chart, which after the initial bounce will give you a level to watch for a Stage 2A breakout as it would on the weekly, you can even use the 2 hour ichimoku cloud to see resistance. Then as with a weekly Stage 2A breakout, all the same rules apply. The breakout above that Stage 1 level should be on at least 2x the volume on the 2 hour chart, and it should be relatively outperforming the S&P 500, or it's a pass.

This multi timeframe method on pullbacks is not part of Stans method, but something I've used to good effect many times, and something that I'm continuing to refine as my own improvement to the Stage Analysis method. As well as a multi timeframe approach on the breakouts, where I use the monthly, weekly, daily and 2 hours charts.



RE: US Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion - isatrader - 2018-05-07

For the watchlist tonight - AROC, BSTI, BVX, EMMS, JET.V, SVA.V