Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method
Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - Printable Version

+- Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum)
+-- Forum: Main Board (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Main-Board)
+--- Forum: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Stock Charts, Technical Analysis, Learn to Trade, Stocks, ETF, NYSE, Nasdaq (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-Stock-Charts-Technical-Analysis-Learn-to-Trade-Stocks-ETF-NYSE-Nasdaq)
+--- Thread: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis (/Thread-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-and-Market-Breadth-Technical-Analysis)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484

RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - grbaNT - 2018-08-11

Attached are the updated charts of the RABWDB Indicator, Individual Phases, SP500 RABWDB, SP400 RABWDB and SP600 RABWDB.

Quick description of the indicator: Sample is the same as for the Survey (2287 stocks). Stock classification is done as per Chuck Dukas's TrendAdvisor Diamond described in his book (see attached TrendAdvisor Diamond). Stocks in bullish, accumulation and recovery phases are considered healthy and cumulatively plotted as an oscillator, same as in the Survey. Those in warning, distribution and bearish phases are considered technically unhealthy.

RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - grbaNT - 2018-08-11

Attached are the updated charts of the US Stock Market Survey Indicator, Individual Stages, SP500 Survey, SP400 Survey and SP600 Survey.

If you want to read my commentary, please go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/search/label/Market%20Breadth
To learn more about the indicator go to https://dg-swingtrading.blogspot.com/2018/02/stan-weinsteins-us-stock-market-survey.html

RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - BarnabeBear - 2018-08-11

(2018-07-28, 10:03 PM)badcharts Wrote:
(2018-07-28, 06:43 PM)BarnabeBear Wrote: Thanks a lot, D !

Agree with your subsector analysis, + looking at the industry sectors a little correction on the techs was overdue lately. But the financials and industrials taking the lead (instead of tech and dicretionary consumer) does not feel like the beginning of a bear mkt but rather like a logical rotation within the cyclical sectors. The dance is not over yet.

See you next week!

Hi Mr.Bear

I though about that also being a possibility, sector rotation.

What do you make of the NYSE AD line and the Momentum index?  Stan looked for guidance there.. 

Here was my analysis on it https://youtu.be/viYpgmo4qso

Recap => neg. divergence with $spx (money rolling from riskier to bluechips) + appoaching negative territory...

Regards,

Patrick

Shoot, did not see this one on time, sorry about that, Patrick, I'm on hols with poor internet access.


In a nutshell, ADLine and momentum index: I follow them a lot ! At the time of writing (2 weeks ago), those indicators were (and still are) healthy, hence the reasoning that at best we were seeing sector rotation in a bull market and not the beginning of bear market. Which I still believe today after the relatively ugly thurs and fri sessions. But if breadth continues to deteriorate like yesterday, then the story will be different, of course.

In this respect, I'm (again) very much in line with what Dejan just posted above (and thanks again to you D. for doing this!): imha, the end is not (yet) nigh

RE: Cumulative P&F Breakouts - Breakdowns custom Breadth charts - isatrader - 2018-08-11

Attached is my updated custom breadth charts that I do based on the daily point and figure double top and double bottom breakdowns.

Note: I'm noticing a loss of momentum in the cumulative chart and a few negative divergenges appearing in the moving average charts too. So changing to a neutral rating for this indicator imo.

                       

RE: Major US Stock Indexes Update - NYSE, Nasdaq, S&P 500, DJIA & S&P 600 small caps - isatrader - 2018-08-11

Here's the overview charts of the US Bullish Percent and Moving Average Breadth.

                   

NYSE Advance Decline Breadth Charts - isatrader - 2018-08-11

Attached is the updated Advance Decline Breadth Charts, including the cumulative AD line, momentum index, cumulative AD volume line, 10 Day AD oscillator and the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index.

                   

US New Highs / New Lows Charts - isatrader - 2018-08-11

Attached is the US New Highs / New Lows charts.

               

RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - pcabc - 2018-08-16

My breadth plots

As always, there may be errors.  These plots need some tidying as they have a bit more data in them and the labelling has not caught up. 'Breadthindicator' is a scoring system of my own based on the various items plotted.

US:
   
I note that the 150 day MA on DJI is now sloping down, but only by a tiny amount, it is essentially flat.

UK:
Note that the 150 day SMA has rolled over and has started to fall.  But to all intents and purposes it is essentially flat.
   


Gold / gold miners:
I wondered if there was a rush to gold or gold miners.  Apparently not.
   

Perhaps I ought ot look at bond ETFs to see if anything happening there?