Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis - Printable Version +- Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum) +-- Forum: Main Board (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Main-Board) +--- Forum: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Stock Charts, Technical Analysis, Learn to Trade, Stocks, ETF, NYSE, Nasdaq (https://www.stageanalysis.net/forum/Forum-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-Stock-Charts-Technical-Analysis-Learn-to-Trade-Stocks-ETF-NYSE-Nasdaq) +--- Thread: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis (/Thread-Stan-Weinstein-s-Stage-Analysis-and-Market-Breadth-Technical-Analysis) Pages:
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RE: Market Breadth Extra - isatrader - 2014-05-10 (2014-05-10, 03:53 PM)Tryst Wrote: looking at the sectors chart of percentages of stocks above the 150 day MAs, with 7 out of the 9 being underneath 70% (the two sectors above being the defensive sectors, energy and utilities), would you assume the likelyhood is that the NYSE will follow the NASDAQ lower? The sector breadth includes both the Nasdaq and NYSE stocks, and it's the weakest it's been since I started following it each week more than a year ago, and so with all sectors falling into the mid range zone between 30% and 70% I'd say it confirms that the market is in Stage 3 currently with two/three of the largest sectors in Stage 4 territory around or below 40%. So my opinion is that this will continue to develop and we will eventually move into Stage 4 across the board as we haven't been to the lower range in any sector since 2011. Below is the sector breadth charts for 2011/12 and the current 2013/14 so you can compare the two time periods with the market. As you can see, in 2011 most sectors got below 20%, even defensive sectors, and some went below 10%. Compare that to where we are now and you can see that even sectors that have been devastated recently could have a lot further to go. 2011/12 2013/14 RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - isatrader - 2014-05-10 (2014-05-10, 03:40 PM)Tryst Wrote: Thanks, isatrader. You can see that when the zero line is crossed it indicators the start (there or there abouts) of a new bull/bear market. He uses his "Weight of Evidence" approach that he talks about in the book, where he gauges the market stage using a combination of over 50 indicators and the actual price action. But the key indicators that he uses is the proprietary S&P Surveys and the Secondary Surveys which he mentions briefly on page 77 of the book, which are the percentage of stocks in Stages 1 & 2. Obviously we don't have access to these, but he has said that the Percentage of Stocks above their 30 Week MA (150 day) charts have a strong correlation of around 75-80% to them, and hence why I show those each week in the market breadth thread and the individual sector charts also. For more idea of the major breadth indicators he uses reread chapter 8 in the book, which talks about the advance decline line, momentum index, new highs new lows etc. Major Stock Indexes Update - isatrader - 2014-05-10 Attached is the updated major equity index charts and relative performance table. US Stock Indexes European Stock Indexes Commodities Update and the Dollar Index - isatrader - 2014-05-10 Attached is the updated major commodities charts, Gold (GC), Copper (HG), West Texas Intermediate Crude (CL) and the Dollar Index (DX). US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries - isatrader - 2014-05-10 Attached is the updated US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries charts. Dow Jones US Sub Sectors Performance - isatrader - 2014-05-10 Attached is the US Sub Sectors ordered by the weekly percentage change. To see the full list sectioned by major sector, with links through to individual stocks in each sector, go to: http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/industrysummary.html?&V=W&G=SECTOR_SPDR US Industry Sectors - isatrader - 2014-05-10 Attached are the updated US Major Sector Charts and relative performance table. RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Tryst - 2014-05-10 (2014-05-10, 04:48 PM)isatrader Wrote:(2014-05-10, 03:40 PM)Tryst Wrote: Thanks, isatrader. You can see that when the zero line is crossed it indicators the start (there or there abouts) of a new bull/bear market. Thanks. Stan does allude to those proprietary surveys in his interviews on FS. Does he not show them on his Global Trend Alert releases? I have the book, but I also find this webpage to be quite useful which covers the key indicators from the book. http://www.alltimehighstocks.com/p/weinstein-indicators-bull-bear-markets.html |