(2018-07-23, 10:49 AM)BarnabeBear Wrote: ps: have you ever heard of them yourselves ?
I have come across it before in some books that I read years ago. But there are a few other research services that also use market breadth indicators and relative performance versus the market and sectors in similar ways too, and that i've incorporated into my personal weight of evidence approach over the years. They just have slightly different approaches, in that they are point and figure based mostly. One is called Dorsey Wright, which seems to have been bought out by the Nasdaq in the last few years, as they've turned their research into a number of ETFs and he wrote a a few books that explains various the market breadth and relative strength charts that they generate on their research service which I trialed for a while to learn more about it, which some other members on here use still I believe. Here's a link: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Point-Figure-Ch...1118445708 But the dorsey site really helped me refine my understanding of the bullish percent index and moving average breadth and well as the relative strength work.
Attached are the updated charts of the RABWDB Indicator, Individual Phases, SP500 RABWDB, SP400 RABWDB and SP600 RABWDB.
Quick description of the indicator: Sample is the same as for the Survey (2287 stocks). Stock classification is done as per Chuck Dukas's TrendAdvisor Diamond described in his book (see attached TrendAdvisor Diamond). Stocks in bullish, accumulation and recovery phases are considered healthy and cumulatively plotted as an oscillator, same as in the Survey. Those in warning, distribution and bearish phases are considered technically unhealthy.
Agree with your subsector analysis, + looking at the industry sectors a little correction on the techs was overdue lately. But the financials and industrials taking the lead (instead of tech and dicretionary consumer) does not feel like the beginning of a bear mkt but rather like a logical rotation within the cyclical sectors. The dance is not over yet.
(2018-07-28, 06:43 PM)BarnabeBear Wrote: Thanks a lot, D !
Agree with your subsector analysis, + looking at the industry sectors a little correction on the techs was overdue lately. But the financials and industrials taking the lead (instead of tech and dicretionary consumer) does not feel like the beginning of a bear mkt but rather like a logical rotation within the cyclical sectors. The dance is not over yet.
See you next week!
Hi Mr.Bear
I though about that also being a possibility, sector rotation.
What do you make of the NYSE AD line and the Momentum index? Stan looked for guidance there..Â
(This post was last modified: 2018-07-29, 10:18 AM by pcabc.
Edit Reason: Update.
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RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis
Some breadth charts
As always, no guarantee these are error free. I need to work on the labelling as the addition of the MACD, unlabelled, for the advance / decline and advanve / decline volume line has made the charts busier.
US:
UK:
The two US secotrs I consider strongest, Tech and Customer Discresionary: