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Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis
03-31-2013, 03:59 PM (This post was last modified: 03-31-2013 04:00 PM by isatrader.)
Post: #25
RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Discussion Thread

Attached is the updated major equity index charts and relative performance table

[Image: attachment.php?aid=677]

US Stock Indexes

               

European Stock Indexes

       


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isatrader

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03-31-2013, 04:02 PM (This post was last modified: 03-31-2013 04:07 PM by isatrader.)
Post: #26
Commodities Update and the Dollar Index

Attached is the updated major commodities charts, Gold (GC), Copper (HG), West Texas Intermediate Crude (CL) and the Dollar Index (DX).

Potential Stage 4 breakdown in Copper occurring. it needs to close below the recent swing low to confirm, but would be a negative for the equity market if it does as is showing weakness in the global economy.


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isatrader

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03-31-2013, 04:03 PM
Post: #27
US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries

Attached is the updated US 10 & 30 Year Treasuries charts.


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isatrader

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03-31-2013, 09:42 PM
Post: #28
RE: Commodities Update and the Dollar Index

(03-31-2013 04:02 PM)isatrader Wrote:  Attached is the updated major commodities charts, Gold (GC), Copper (HG), West Texas Intermediate Crude (CL) and the Dollar Index (DX).

Potential Stage 4 breakdown in Copper occurring. it needs to close below the recent swing low to confirm, but would be a negative for the equity market if it does as is showing weakness in the global economy.

Interesting, thanks for sharing your analysis
nicosxm
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04-01-2013, 01:15 AM
Post: #29
Soybean Meal (ZM)

Soybean Meal (ZM) looks to be making a Stage 4 continuation move lower once more after breaking the short term trendline last week. A close below support in the 390 zone could be very bearish for it. Attached is the charts


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isatrader

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04-01-2013, 10:48 AM (This post was last modified: 04-01-2013 11:05 AM by Lplate.)
Post: #30
RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Regional ETFs

(03-31-2013 03:59 PM)isatrader Wrote:  Attached is the updated major equity index charts and relative performance table . . .
I was looking at my FSAVC unit trust funds, which were invested in Asia, and read about the recent big rises in fund prices this last period in Japan, (Continental) Europe, and European Smaller, and the fall-off in Emerging and Commodities.
Most such mutual funds are regionally focussed, not single country. I searched the internet and, though there are some regional comparisons, e.g. http://seekingalpha.com/data/global_and_regions , for the UK investor they are either too broad or too US-oriented. Generally UK is lumped with "Europe", whereas the fund industry in UK by "Europe" means "rest of Europe" or "the Eurozone".
The only website giving a page-view is stockcharts.com and this takes only US-listed. Nevertheless, I have found what I hope are a useful list of ETFs which stockcharts.com deems to accept. I am open to suggestions of course. http://tinyurl.com/c4zcf6k
I found the display useful, and, by eye on a 1 year chart, it shows clearly that US and US smaller are still in stage 2, that Europe and Germany are in a Stage 3, on the brink of a breakdown, that UK is a little better clinging to stage 2, that Asia ex-Japan is still in stage 2, probably held up by Japan holding still strongly in stage 2, and that, as shown in isatrader's stream of country ETF breakdown list, the BRIC and emerging countries have broken down into stage 4.
For new fund investors, there are no apparent stage 2 breakouts, so the Weinstein bets seem to still be on the strong stage 2s for US and Japan.
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04-01-2013, 12:13 PM (This post was last modified: 04-01-2013 12:25 PM by isatrader.)
Post: #31
RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis - Discussion Thread

(04-01-2013 10:48 AM)Lplate Wrote:  
(03-31-2013 03:59 PM)isatrader Wrote:  Attached is the updated major equity index charts and relative performance table . . .
I was looking at my FSAVC unit trust funds, which were invested in Asia, and read about the recent big rises in fund prices this last period in Japan, (Continental) Europe, and European Smaller, and the fall-off in Emerging and Commodities.
Most such mutual funds are regionally focussed, not single country. I searched the internet and, though there are some regional comparisons, e.g. http://seekingalpha.com/data/global_and_regions , for the UK investor they are either too broad or too US-oriented. Generally UK is lumped with "Europe", whereas the fund industry in UK by "Europe" means "rest of Europe" or "the Eurozone".
The only website giving a page-view is stockcharts.com and this takes only US-listed. Nevertheless, I have found what I hope are a useful list of ETFs which stockcharts.com deems to accept. I am open to suggestions of course. http://tinyurl.com/c4zcf6k
I found the display useful, and, by eye on a 1 year chart, it shows clearly that US and US smaller are still in stage 2, that Europe and Germany are in a Stage 3, on the brink of a breakdown, that UK is a little better clinging to stage 2, that Asia ex-Japan is still in stage 2, probably held up by Japan holding still strongly in stage 2, and that, as shown in isatrader's stream of country ETF breakdown list, the BRIC and emerging countries have broken down into stage 4.
For new fund investors, there are no apparent stage 2 breakouts, so the Weinstein bets seem to still be on the strong stage 2s for US and Japan.

You can do a similar view on Chartmill, but with the extra benefit of being able to change the settings and order by Mansfield Relative Strength. It only does US and European stocks, as I believe it's a French owned site, so no UK stocks or ETFs. But you can use the various US listed ETFs to see what you want to, with the charts setup in the proper Weinstein method way. Go to: http://www.chartmill.com/stockcharts.php...=&i3=&ip3=


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isatrader

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04-02-2013, 08:45 AM (This post was last modified: 04-02-2013 08:51 AM by isatrader.)
Post: #32
Soft Commodities - Stage 4 Breakdowns

A number of commodities took a big hit yesterday and made Stage 4 continuation moves. Corn (ZC) was one of the worst hit, but Wheat (ZW), Soybeans (ZS) and Soybean Meal (ZM) all had strong down days, potentially beginning new Stage 4 continuations also. Oats (ZO) was also notably weak but is still in Stage 3 for now.

Attached is the Corn (ZC) weekly and daily charts, and the P&F 1% chart.


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